Poll

How did the money arrive on Tena Bar

River Flooding
1 (5%)
Floated to it's resting spot via Columbia river
2 (10%)
Planted
6 (30%)
Dredge
11 (55%)
tossed in the river in a paper bag
0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 17

Voting closed: August 16, 2016, 09:05:28 AM

Author Topic: Tena Bar Money Find  (Read 1267039 times)

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2790 on: April 13, 2017, 04:48:38 PM »
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If you talk to any actual Meteorologist in the Portland area, they will tell you the Portland area is one of the toughest places to try and accurately predict the weather. Why ? I've heard them on TV try to explain why their forecast was way off ! They will tell you the ocean current and the wind blowing so hard in the Gorge makes Portland one of the toughest in the country to accurately predict. As a recent example, they were predicting a wind,storm that was supposed to rival the Columbus Day Storm. The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH. Needless to say they had egg on their faces as,the recent predicted storm missed by about 100 MPH. LOL

The attached chart shows millibar averages along the Cascade range for the period in question. Remember we dont have wind data above 10k feet - wish we did. There is a stacking effect on the western side of the Cascades creating an opportunity for micro climates as topography changes. That could explain diverse weather reports in various areas on the same day, not that distant from each other ... thats one possible explanation. Stagnation in some areas - high winds in another during daylight heating hours. Maybe more on this tonight... I assume everyone knows where the Cascade range is on this chart? Better charts tonight if time allows ...
« Last Edit: April 13, 2017, 04:50:47 PM by georger »
 

Robert99

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2791 on: April 13, 2017, 05:12:58 PM »
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If you talk to any actual Meteorologist in the Portland area, they will tell you the Portland area is one of the toughest places to try and accurately predict the weather. Why ? I've heard them on TV try to explain why their forecast was way off ! They will tell you the ocean current and the wind blowing so hard in the Gorge makes Portland one of the toughest in the country to accurately predict. As a recent example, they were predicting a wind,storm that was supposed to rival the Columbus Day Storm. The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH. Needless to say they had egg on their faces as,the recent predicted storm missed by about 100 MPH. LOL

The attached chart shows millibar averages along the Cascade range for the period in question. Remember we dont have wind data above 10k feet - wish we did. There is a stacking effect on the western side of the Cascades creating an opportunity for micro climates as topography changes. That could explain diverse weather reports in various areas on the same day, not that distant from each other ... thats one possible explanation. Stagnation in some areas - high winds in another during daylight heating hours. Maybe more on this tonight... I assume everyone knows where the Cascade range is on this chart? Better charts tonight if time allows ...

Georger,

You are referring to the Columbus day storm that Kermit describes, correct?

There are also National Weather Service charts, and predicted winds aloft for aviation use, available for the night of the hijacking.  There had been a frontal passage through the Portland and Seattle area several hours before the hijacking.  Nevertheless, the atmospheric pressure was above standard in Seattle and increased as the hijacked airliner flew south.  The increasing pressure means that the weather was getting better the further the airliner got from Seattle.
 

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2792 on: April 13, 2017, 11:50:30 PM »
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If you talk to any actual Meteorologist in the Portland area, they will tell you the Portland area is one of the toughest places to try and accurately predict the weather. Why ? I've heard them on TV try to explain why their forecast was way off ! They will tell you the ocean current and the wind blowing so hard in the Gorge makes Portland one of the toughest in the country to accurately predict. As a recent example, they were predicting a wind,storm that was supposed to rival the Columbus Day Storm. The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH. Needless to say they had egg on their faces as,the recent predicted storm missed by about 100 MPH. LOL

The attached chart shows millibar averages along the Cascade range for the period in question. Remember we dont have wind data above 10k feet - wish we did. There is a stacking effect on the western side of the Cascades creating an opportunity for micro climates as topography changes. That could explain diverse weather reports in various areas on the same day, not that distant from each other ... thats one possible explanation. Stagnation in some areas - high winds in another during daylight heating hours. Maybe more on this tonight... I assume everyone knows where the Cascade range is on this chart? Better charts tonight if time allows ...

Georger,

You are referring to the Columbus day storm that Kermit describes, correct?

There are also National Weather Service charts, and predicted winds aloft for aviation use, available for the night of the hijacking.  There had been a frontal passage through the Portland and Seattle area several hours before the hijacking.  Nevertheless, the atmospheric pressure was above standard in Seattle and increased as the hijacked airliner flew south.  The increasing pressure means that the weather was getting better the further the airliner got from Seattle.

No I wasnt referring to any particular storm -

As I recall the facts you cite above are correct. I was trying to respond to Kermit's suggestion there are localised weather patterns and cells that form from time to time in different areas, eg. Columbia Gorge area. This could account for disparate weather reports at different places, eg Longview reports (Himmelsbach), Ariel reports (Dona), Gorge reports, etc ... in fact I have annual precipitation charts which suggest exactly that (localised areas) on the western side of the Cascades which includes parts of V23.
« Last Edit: April 14, 2017, 01:33:25 AM by georger »
 

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2793 on: April 14, 2017, 02:42:39 PM »
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If you talk to any actual Meteorologist in the Portland area, they will tell you the Portland area is one of the toughest places to try and accurately predict the weather. Why ? I've heard them on TV try to explain why their forecast was way off ! They will tell you the ocean current and the wind blowing so hard in the Gorge makes Portland one of the toughest in the country to accurately predict. As a recent example, they were predicting a wind,storm that was supposed to rival the Columbus Day Storm. The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH. Needless to say they had egg on their faces as,the recent predicted storm missed by about 100 MPH. LOL

The attached chart shows millibar averages along the Cascade range for the period in question. Remember we dont have wind data above 10k feet - wish we did. There is a stacking effect on the western side of the Cascades creating an opportunity for micro climates as topography changes. That could explain diverse weather reports in various areas on the same day, not that distant from each other ... thats one possible explanation. Stagnation in some areas - high winds in another during daylight heating hours. Maybe more on this tonight... I assume everyone knows where the Cascade range is on this chart? Better charts tonight if time allows ...

Georger,

You are referring to the Columbus day storm that Kermit describes, correct?

There are also National Weather Service charts, and predicted winds aloft for aviation use, available for the night of the hijacking.  There had been a frontal passage through the Portland and Seattle area several hours before the hijacking.  Nevertheless, the atmospheric pressure was above standard in Seattle and increased as the hijacked airliner flew south.  The increasing pressure means that the weather was getting better the further the airliner got from Seattle.

The obvious problem is nobody - literally nobody! - bothered to document the weather in diverse areas, on the day. Nobody bothered to get reports from people after the fact. So there is no public record to work from for the areas involved, just a few personal anecdotes, ... so we go back to the standard weather reports and let that repesent the whole sample! It was raining and sunny in Bejing, Washington DC, Ariel Washington, and in Sidney Austrailia. Perfect weather for a hijacking while Himmelsbach flew around in storms and hurricanes and who know knows what all! It was a "fine day in the Neighborhood"!   :))
 

Offline 377

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2794 on: April 14, 2017, 02:46:51 PM »
"The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH"

That 1962 storm was a disaster at sea, many fishing boats lost with all hands. Nobody saw it coming and fishermen are weather savvy. A friend of my Dad's had his boat go down in that storm. he told my dad it went from nice weather to savage unbelievably fast. He and his crew were rescued by another boat which itself nearly sunk after the rescue. The winds were over 100 mph according to survivors, but that was a guess since none of the boat anemometers go that high. Tuna fishing had been good and the boats were loaded down, reducing freeboard. Those who lost hatch covers were doomed.

Still I think the Cooper weather wouldn't have precluded a safe landing.

377
 

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2795 on: April 14, 2017, 04:21:36 PM »
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"The Columbus Day storm had gusts that were clocked on the Morrison St bridge around 150 MPH"

That 1962 storm was a disaster at sea, many fishing boats lost with all hands. Nobody saw it coming and fishermen are weather savvy. A friend of my Dad's had his boat go down in that storm. he told my dad it went from nice weather to savage unbelievably fast. He and his crew were rescued by another boat which itself nearly sunk after the rescue. The winds were over 100 mph according to survivors, but that was a guess since none of the boat anemometers go that high. Tuna fishing had been good and the boats were loaded down, reducing freeboard. Those who lost hatch covers were doomed.

Still I think the Cooper weather wouldn't have precluded a safe landing.

377

Which Cooper weather? Whose version where?
 

Offline 377

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2796 on: April 14, 2017, 06:11:12 PM »
Winds aloft don't matter with regard to a safe chute landing. I have jumped with winds aloft at exit altitude exceeding 60 knots and had an injury free landing because ground winds were below 20. Nobody has perfect reliable data for what Coopers wind on the ground was, but taking all the reports available and ignoring the few with huge deviance from the norm, I would bet that Cooper had winds on the ground below 20 knots. Not a pleasant round canopy landing speed, but definitely survivable. If he died landing on solid ground he would have been found. The older I get the more I wonder if DBC didn't drown in the Columbia.

377
 

Robert99

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2797 on: April 15, 2017, 12:15:39 AM »
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Winds aloft don't matter with regard to a safe chute landing. I have jumped with winds aloft at exit altitude exceeding 60 knots and had an injury free landing because ground winds were below 20. Nobody has perfect reliable data for what Coopers wind on the ground was, but taking all the reports available and ignoring the few with huge deviance from the norm, I would bet that Cooper had winds on the ground below 20 knots. Not a pleasant round canopy landing speed, but definitely survivable. If he died landing on solid ground he would have been found. The older I get the more I wonder if DBC didn't drown in the Columbia.

377

The winds on the ground in the Portland/Vancouver area that evening were about 10 knots.

If Cooper had landed in the Columbia River it would have to be as a no-pull since the airliner passed along the western shore of the Columbia River in the Tina Bar area.  If Cooper had opened a good chute even as low as 500 feet above ground level he would still have landed east of North West Lower River Road and in the Vancouver Lake drainage system.

If Cooper landed in the river itself, he would have retained enough floatability to drift downstream of Tina Bar before daylight.  It must be remembered that people were at Tina Bar on a daily basis.

And nothing above explains how the money ended up at Tina Bar.
 

MeyerLouie

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2798 on: April 15, 2017, 01:38:55 AM »
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I'm not sure how the weather reacts in different area's in Washington, and Oregon. I believe Ralph was flying around the supposed dropzone? if so is it possible the weather was much different in that area vs 10 miles away. Dona, also commented on bad weather in this area?

Florida is much different, so I see strange weather constantly. I've seen it rain many times on the opposite side of the highway, and down at the end of streets. I can be on the top of a high-rise building and see rain in different locations just a half mile away.

Is it possible that we are dealing with different weather situations vs a myth, or someone lying about the weather that evening?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dona Elliott has said on several occasions that the weather at Ariel on 11/24/71 was terrible -- it was an all-out storm.  She has never changed her story.  And I believe Ralph Himmelsbach too.  Why would he not be forthcoming about that?  It's in his book, I think he described the weather as "rotten" that night -- or was it DBC being a dirty, ROTTEN scoundrel?  I forget.  In any event....RH was flying around that night, he was there.  I thought he was in a helicopter trying to keep up with 305 that night.

I don't really know, because I was elsewhere -- the weather in the Columbia River Gorge, 75 miles east of Portland, was the worst storm I've ever experienced in the Gorge, before or since.  We probably shouldn't have even been driving that night  -- the wind blew us all over the road, and the unrelenting rain made visibility next to zero.  It was a real challenge just keeping control of the car. 

I will have to take the word of some people about the weather that night -- others, maybe not.  But here we go again...as with most everything else Cooper, we can't even come to a consensus on the weather! 

When we left Newberg, OR that night (I recall it was still daylight when we pulled out of town, but it felt dark because of the looming dark clouds) -- the weather was nothing out of the ordinary at that time, but you could tell a storm was a brewin'.

Meyer

[/quote]

REPLY ......... ONCE AGAIN FORMATTING IS SCREWED UP HERE OUT OF MY CONTROL!

Hominid looked at the weather data and concluded there was enough variability over the entire region of the flight path, that regional variability and micro climate cells could not be ruled out - and in fact he thought he had identified a few examples ..... during the hours of the hijacking.

Regional variability is a fact of life in weather in this whole region due mainly to multiple Cascade effects especially in the Fall of the year. That point is not debatable! You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login
There is a direct relationship between weather variability and topography within even small regions. The flight path flew through a high number of such localised regions (as noted by Hominid and others). There was no single stagnant weather pattern through the whole area of the flight path that day! Even Ckret's weather data dispels that notion, as noted by Hominid.

Again variability is related to the topological regions (Cascade western side) the flight path flew through, and here is a sectional chart showing that complex array of topographical regions with the allegfed flight path just to the west of these regions and in some cases within those regions.

Otherwise you might as well call everyone who gave diverse weather reports in different areas, liars !

 


 
« Last Edit: April 15, 2017, 03:16:06 PM by georger »
 

MeyerLouie

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2799 on: April 15, 2017, 02:06:40 AM »
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I guess it's all in your own perspective and I guess that's why eye witnesses often give different stories. Mine might be tainted as I was born in Minnesota and spent about 28 years delivering mail outdoors in the Portland area. I lived through the Columbus Day Storm in Portland. The night of the Highjacking wasn't any terrible weather day in Portland from my perspective!  I've delivered mail wearing golf shoes after an ice storm. There was no snow or ice that night. Portland is 50 feet above sea level while Ariel sits over 800 ft. Perhaps that has something to do with Dona Elliot's report on the weather. I am certain you are correctly reporting the conditions in the Gorge but that's another world as any local knows. My younger brother lives in Lyle, Washington which lies right above the Gorge on Washington side. It's 75 miles from Portland but another world ! One of these days when you're in Cooper country, give me a jingle and we'll have lunch and Exchange stories.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kermit,

I just checked out the map and you and I are not that far away from each other.  Vader is a bit south of Chehalis, I'm a bit north of Chehalis.  It would be no problem meeting up.  For sure, when I head south to Tina Bar we for sure can meet.  But since you're fairly close by, maybe we can meet in Centralia or Chehalis -- anytime soon would be fine -- no problem.  I will send you a PM, let's set up a time.

Meyer
 

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2800 on: April 15, 2017, 03:16:57 PM »
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I'm not sure how the weather reacts in different area's in Washington, and Oregon. I believe Ralph was flying around the supposed dropzone? if so is it possible the weather was much different in that area vs 10 miles away. Dona, also commented on bad weather in this area?

Florida is much different, so I see strange weather constantly. I've seen it rain many times on the opposite side of the highway, and down at the end of streets. I can be on the top of a high-rise building and see rain in different locations just a half mile away.

Is it possible that we are dealing with different weather situations vs a myth, or someone lying about the weather that evening?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dona Elliott has said on several occasions that the weather at Ariel on 11/24/71 was terrible -- it was an all-out storm.  She has never changed her story.  And I believe Ralph Himmelsbach too.  Why would he not be forthcoming about that?  It's in his book, I think he described the weather as "rotten" that night -- or was it DBC being a dirty, ROTTEN scoundrel?  I forget.  In any event....RH was flying around that night, he was there.  I thought he was in a helicopter trying to keep up with 305 that night.

I don't really know, because I was elsewhere -- the weather in the Columbia River Gorge, 75 miles east of Portland, was the worst storm I've ever experienced in the Gorge, before or since.  We probably shouldn't have even been driving that night  -- the wind blew us all over the road, and the unrelenting rain made visibility next to zero.  It was a real challenge just keeping control of the car. 

I will have to take the word of some people about the weather that night -- others, maybe not.  But here we go again...as with most everything else Cooper, we can't even come to a consensus on the weather! 

When we left Newberg, OR that night (I recall it was still daylight when we pulled out of town, but it felt dark because of the looming dark clouds) -- the weather was nothing out of the ordinary at that time, but you could tell a storm was a brewin'.

Meyer


REPLY ......... ONCE AGAIN FORMATTING ISSUES - 

Hominid looked at the weather data and concluded there was enough variability over the entire region of the flight path, that regional variability and micro climate cells could not be ruled out - and in fact he thought he had identified a few examples ..... during the hours of the hijacking.

Regional variability is a fact of life in weather in this whole region due mainly to multiple Cascade effects especially in the Fall of the year. That point is not debatable! You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login

There is a direct relationship between weather variability and topography within even small regions. The flight path flew through a high number of such localised regions (as noted by Hominid and others). There was no single stagnant weather pattern through the whole area of the flight path that day! Even Ckret's weather data dispels that notion, as noted by Hominid.

Again variability is related to the topological regions (Cascade western side) the flight path flew through, and here is a sectional chart showing that complex array of topographical regions with the alleged flight path just to the west of these regions and in some cases within those regions. And in fact we consulted with several climatologists-weather experts in the State of Washington while doing this work. We are talking about wide swings in weather in different areas only 20-40 miles apart.

Otherwise you might as well call everyone who gave diverse weather reports in different areas, liars !

The full topo sectional chart with flight path can be found here - it is too large to post here: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login   Right click it and Save it.

<edit>  It has been correctly stated that ' a weather front had just passed through' the flight path area teh day before, which is true, however this is only relative. Weather 'fronts' do not just 'pass through' this area, as they might across the flat plains of Kansas and Nebraska! In the State of Washington fronts coming off the Pacific first get hung up at the Cascades and then the Rockies to the east of the Cascades - so nothing 'just passes through', as it were. Fonts slow and stall, there is back wash and lower altitude eddies form and actually flow back westward underneath higher altitude warmer air masses rising over the Cascades and Rockies! This adds to the variability and instability (turbulence) in some area depending on topography. That is the typical reality of the weather on the westward side of the Cascades .... especially in the Fall of the year ... as explained to use by weather experts who know this area. Even the pilots noted turbulence during the flight, on the day after a front had 'just passed through', socalled.         

[/quote]
« Last Edit: April 15, 2017, 11:23:32 PM by georger »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2801 on: April 15, 2017, 08:51:50 PM »
Quote
REPLY ......... ONCE AGAIN FORMATTING IS SCREWED UP HERE TODAY FOR SOME REASON OUT OF MY CONTROL! NOW SEEMS TO BE WORKING AGAIN - I GIVE UP!

The cause seems to be from Meyer allowing the dotting lines to go completely across the screen and down to the next level...

Meyer, just use the enter key to drop down levels....
« Last Edit: April 15, 2017, 08:52:09 PM by Shutter »
 

MeyerLouie

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2802 on: April 16, 2017, 08:10:28 AM »
Wow, I'm actually causing the problem... didn't know.  Dividing lines help me see where one person stops and another begins more better.  The imbedded boxes get so imbedded at times so that the print is too small for me to see (I'm visually challenged, remember).  How about if I just hit the reply button, like I did here?

Meyer
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2803 on: April 16, 2017, 10:55:46 AM »
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Wow, I'm actually causing the problem... didn't know.  Dividing lines help me see where one person stops and another begins more better.  The imbedded boxes get so imbedded at times so that the print is too small for me to see (I'm visually challenged, remember).  How about if I just hit the reply button, like I did here?

Meyer


Just try not to let them run across the screen too far.
are you using the "zoom" feature on your browser, you can enlarge the text that way, and if you have done this it could be why you are overshooting?
 

georger

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Re: Tina Bar Money Find
« Reply #2804 on: April 16, 2017, 01:38:21 PM »
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Wow, I'm actually causing the problem... didn't know.  Dividing lines help me see where one person stops and another begins more better.  The imbedded boxes get so imbedded at times so that the print is too small for me to see (I'm visually challenged, remember).  How about if I just hit the reply button, like I did here?

Meyer

Just try not to let them run across the screen too far.
are you using the "zoom" feature on your browser, you can enlarge the text that way, and if you have done this it could be why you are overshooting?

I just look for the last "[/QUOTE]" thingy in brackets, and start my reply after that?

Here's a screenshot of the reply window showing everything -
 
« Last Edit: April 16, 2017, 03:58:08 PM by georger »