Author Topic: Flight Path And Related Issues  (Read 916436 times)

georger

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #345 on: August 24, 2014, 12:20:53 AM »
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Everything seems to get confusing even with people who have had access to the files.

Tom Kaye
"It tells you (the money) likely didn't come down 20 miles of the Washougal River," Kaye said. "Then it brings up the question of where did Cooper really jump. We have reason to believe the jump zone was farther south. If the money landed in the Columbia, that would be the easiest explanation for how it got to Tena Bar."

Larry Carr
The crew referenced a call to Cooper at 8:05 PM when making a statement about the pressure change, stating the pressure bump occurred 5 to 10 minutes after this. they further stated that when they felt the pressure changed they were not yet to Portland, but definitely in the suburbs.

Now, the suburbs of Portland are not in the area of 8:15. are they implying they crossed the river before they felt the bump? I thought the first pressure felt was at 8:10? or oscillation. the pressure bump according to Carr was 5-10 minutes after the 8:05 transmission. could they possibly be wrong and it was 5-10 minutes after the oscillation? that would put them over the suburbs of Portland?

Was it suburbs of Portland or 'suburbs of Vancouver" ! ?


well, that's all part of the confusing part  8)

I think it should be "not in Portland yet" ........ "but in the suburbs of Vancouver". We discussed ad nauseum on DZ what "in the suburbs of Vancouver" meant. Sluggo decide Orchard qualified ... is that everyone else's recollection. ?

I can look this up. Rat also testified independently and spoke of being "in the suburbs of Vancouver". I mean .... going south to cross the Columbia there are no 'suburbs' of Portland, until you get past downtown Portland then into the suburbs.

 
« Last Edit: August 24, 2014, 12:31:08 AM by georger »
 

georger

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #346 on: August 24, 2014, 12:29:49 AM »
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One of the NWA personnel who was listening to the phone patch in Seattle gave a time of 8:18 PM for the airliner being at the 23 DME (nautical miles) position south of the present day Battleground VORTAC.  The teletypewriter message about that location was listed as being sent on the teletypewriter circuit to Seattle at 8:22 PM.  Since it required a finite time to "format" the message to be sent over the ARINC teletypewriter system, the 8:18 PM time for being at that location is probably correct.

This means that at 8:15 PM, the airliner would already be south of the Columbia River by several miles.  At 8:10 PM, the airliner would still be several miles north of the Tina Bar area.

The above assumes the airliner bypassed Portland on the west side which is the only route that will provide meaningful correlations with the data.

I've been leaning more towards the fence of a timing issue over a flight path issue. I'm beginning to think the path could be correct, and the time frames are at error. lots of fumbling going on. nothing is clear cut stating this is exactly where the plane was at "time here". 8:10 the transcripts say he could of jumped here. then we find we have two different issues with the stairs causing a jump further south than first expected. each time this occurs we get closer to the water hazards. he might have jumped around PDX, lost the money, and went home? I don't know......

I have all day tomorrow to myself  8) I'm going to run some more flights and see what happens.

I think the timeline of the jump is early. If Andy is correct that there was indecision and nobody even communicated the 'bump and Cooper possibly leaving' until later, "after we discussed it Rat then called it in" .... then there is no question the assign times to the bump and possible jump are early. From 8: 12 all the way to possible 8:16 or 18.

There is no question in my mind that the Tina Bar money is a flow-in event. From somewhere. Somewhere close to Tina Bar, somewhere further upstream from Tina Bar but a flow-in event probably in the company of other debris.
Maybe during the first higher than normal water even of 1972. Even Tom thinks it's early. Or just maybe, with the dredging debris in 1974, then moved to the find location.

0% probability of plant and no evidence of plant while there is all kinds of evidence the find is compatible with hydrological placement.
 
Call CNN in Atlanta! That will give Dropzone and Blevins and Danny some publicity!

« Last Edit: August 24, 2014, 12:40:46 AM by georger »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #347 on: August 24, 2014, 12:40:48 AM »
Agreed. I know it has been discussed about the low percentage of a splash down, but that was further north. lots & lots of water around as the clock ticks...

« Last Edit: August 24, 2014, 12:48:07 AM by shutter »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #348 on: August 25, 2014, 10:28:53 AM »
If we agree that the time of the jump is incorrect, and further south, shouldn't we now also agree that the money could of made it to the Columbia, or in the Columbia? I'm going to email Tom and see what his thoughts are on the trail since even the FBI agree's the jump is further south.

It seems to open possibilities that Cooper could have survived, and the money didn't, or was separated from him. personally I don't think he made it. I think he might be in a spot that was never checked, or discovered. as time goes by the body slowly disappears into the surrounding area. I don't agree with Amazon stating a body could be seen decades later.

I would love to take $50 in one dollar bills, and put it in a bag like Cooper used and place it in the river., or $25 in the river, and $25 on the bank. 10 people donating $5 could reach this goal. getting someone to monitor it becomes the problem. I liked Tom's testing, but they were just snippets of currency. two nice bundles would be great!

The battle of Little Bighorn is a fine example of how mother nature hides things. if it wasn't for the brush fire they would of had no idea what clues it uncovered once the brush was removed. they were able to document the whole battle which ended up backing up everything the Indians have be stating for decades.
« Last Edit: August 25, 2014, 10:54:28 AM by shutter »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #349 on: September 07, 2014, 10:47:50 AM »
Interesting interview with Msgt. Wally Johnson. he describes the black box used on the 727. according to him both pressure anomalies would have been recorded. what ever happen to these records? Carr should have known this, or acknowledged they were on the box for record. I'm sure the time could be figured out between the two different issues with the pressure (oscillation/bump) did Washington keep these records, and another box was put back in the plane?

I posted the section about the black box, and the entire interview for download. he also describes the people in the photo with everyone involved with the drop test.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2014, 10:59:07 AM by shutter »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #350 on: September 07, 2014, 12:41:22 PM »
Here is a video I made from the files of the Washington Historical Society. Bill Rataczak explains the plane's configuration.

 

Offline Bruce A. Smith

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #351 on: September 07, 2014, 04:38:43 PM »
Thanks, Shut, for the vid on Bill.  I was surprised to realize that that was the first time I've seen him in a video.
 

georger

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #352 on: September 07, 2014, 04:51:54 PM »
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Thanks, Shut, for the vid on Bill.  I was surprised to realize that that was the first time I've seen him in a video.

Yes, the glamour is there! Congrats on spotting it. Of course GLAMOUR PROVES NOTHING!

Can you reconcile the "cross bedded sands" to the clay-lump layer Palmer found and date them?

Rataczak doesn't mention that. No glamour in it!
« Last Edit: September 07, 2014, 04:53:26 PM by georger »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #353 on: September 07, 2014, 05:01:55 PM »
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Thanks, Shut, for the vid on Bill.  I was surprised to realize that that was the first time I've seen him in a video.

Your welcome.....and it's in living color  8)

 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #354 on: September 07, 2014, 06:04:17 PM »
Georger, did you remove your post to edit? I come back from the store, and it was gone?
« Last Edit: September 07, 2014, 06:07:49 PM by shutter »
 

Offline Bruce A. Smith

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #355 on: September 07, 2014, 08:14:51 PM »
Yeah, G, where did it go?  It was quite a comprehensive analysis of the soils at TB.
 

georger

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #356 on: September 08, 2014, 12:18:11 AM »
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Yeah, G, where did it go?  It was quite a comprehensive analysis of the soils at TB.

I didn't think anyone was interested. I may redo later and post it in the Tena Bar Money thread. Basically its an analysis of the Palmer report as it corresponds to Kaye's analysis.

Tom and others focus on the 'clay lump and sand' layer Palmer identified as being the dredge spoils from 1974. Above that layer, Palmer identifies a "cross bedded sand" layer which in the Palmer analysis may be the actual baseline against which he assigned all other strata. Each layer found represents a segment of time. The cross bedded layer would presumably represent all deposits, wave action, and erosion between Sept 1974 and the start of the 'upper active layer' which may start in 1978, after the severe drought of 1977. If Palmer is correct then the "cross bedded layer" can only correspond to water events between Sept 1974 and say Sept 1978. So the question arises: does the Columbia river height data at the Vancouver station between Sept 1974 and Sept 1978 support multiple cross-bedded deposition events (at Tina Bar) between Sept '74 and Sept '78, and generally I think it does. Palmer had access to those same Vancouver station records I do today. Those water event records seem to confirm the cross-bedded layer consisting of multiple high water events, which Palmer identified as layer "B". On that basis Palmer would be fully justified in claiming that the "clay lump and sand" layer "C" found below the cross bedded sands layer "B", was in fact the dredging sediments from 1974. Then on top of Layer "B" Palmer places the "upper active" layer representing deposits from say Sept 1978 to the current time February of 1980 - and it is in this topmost layer "A" the Ingram money was recovered.

Kaye arrives in 2008 and finds a severely eroded beachfront at Tina bar, Kay can see a clay layer exposed in the erosion cut, and Kaye believes that clay layer he is seeing predates 1974. Tom believes this is the very layer Palmer was looking at in 1980 and called the 'dredge spoils' layer, but it was not. Tom may be saying that the dredge spoils layer had all but washed away by 1980 and so there was no dredging layer to be found, and Palmer misidentified a deeper (pre 1971?) layer as being the 1974 dredge spoils 'clay and sand'. Quite frankly, it is difficult for me to believe Palmer would make such a basic mistake. Palmer was an expert in this area. 

Tom would then assign Palmer's cross bedded sands layer 'C' as consisting of (a) remnants of the dredging spoils  deposited in 1974 and post 1974-Sept 1978 sands laid down by multiple water events between the end of 1974 to say early 1978.

All of this matters because the dating of the layer in which Ingram money was found is crucial. The water records must agree with the strata found, in any event. And the Vancouver station records I have generally support the multiple water-deposition events which Palmer's cross bedded sands layer 'B' implies.

I can easily see how Palmer would have identified anything below layer 'B', especially anything containing clay, as the 1974 bottom dredging sediments which consists of both clay and coarse sand. But, the baseline is set in Palmer's mind once he see's the cross bedded layer 'B'. Stratum 'B' represents a definable period of time against which actual nearby river station records can be checked. Please recall, it was not just Palmer out a Tina Bar alone. He had backup and co-researchers working with him, some of who are named on Kaye's site. (a professional hydrologist for one).
So Palmer is not operating in complete darkness here.

Do water-weather records support the idea that all of the 1974 dredging spoils placed at Tina Bar had withered down to a non-existent thin layer by the time the cross bedded layer 'B' starts to be assembled at Tina Bar? No. There is nothing to support that contention. The best one could do is contend that cross bedded layer 'B' represents a portion of dredging spoils and post-dredging sands laid down between 8-74 and say 9-78 when we are sure the next cycle of deposition with the flood of 1978 begins (and deposits the upper active layer Palmer found).

This exercise illustrates the issues involved. But, water and weather records must correspond and account for whatever beach strata are found, because beach's just don't build themselves!. Beaches are a temporal story of deposition, erosion, water and wave action, et cetera. Beaches are a clock.
         

 

           
« Last Edit: September 08, 2014, 01:31:49 AM by georger »
 

Offline Shutter

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #357 on: September 08, 2014, 12:31:51 AM »
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Yeah, G, where did it go?  It was quite a comprehensive analysis of the soils at TB.

I didn't think anyone was interested. I may redo later and post it in the Tena Bar Money thread.


Yes, please post it again when you have time. everything you post is of value that I've seen. your presents, and experience is a must on this forum. I hardly ever get quick response times on my comments. don't feel bad  ;D
 

georger

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #358 on: September 08, 2014, 01:33:35 AM »
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Yeah, G, where did it go?  It was quite a comprehensive analysis of the soils at TB.

I didn't think anyone was interested. I may redo later and post it in the Tena Bar Money thread.


Yes, please post it again when you have time. everything you post is of value that I've seen. your presents, and experience is a must on this forum. I hardly ever get quick response times on my comments. don't feel bad  ;D

I added it to my last post above. Now I have to get running - tomorrow has already arrived here -
 
 

Offline 18C

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Re: Flight Path And Related Issues
« Reply #359 on: September 08, 2014, 02:32:45 AM »
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Thanks, Shut, for the vid on Bill.  I was surprised to realize that that was the first time I've seen him in a video.

Here's the second Bruce :

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