It's all speculation. we are to assume that Cooper knew exactly when to go down the stairs to see the lights from the dam? he gives no indication to timing anything. how would he have known they would fly close to it anyway? then of course the cloud coverage.
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My contention is that Cooper had no indication of timing anything, he had no idea of when or where he was going to jump, and he didn't even care. I remember discussion on the DZ Forum about Tina helping Cooper get the aft stairs to go down. Tina gave no indication that Cooper was agitated, irritated, or panicked about the situation. In fact, he seemed cool, calm, and collected. Some people thought Cooper's original intention was to jump as soon as possible after leaving Seattle -- like around Tacoma (which is close to McChord AFB) or Olympia. Getting the aft stairs to deploy took longer than expected. No big deal, Cooper wasn't even annoyed. Tina didn't indicate he seemed rushed about anything -- he got agitated in Seattle when the fueling took so long, that's pretty much it. When he was cutting parachute chord and strapping the money bag to his waist, Tina didn't say he seemed rushed or panicked. Either this guy had nerves of steel and ice running through his veins, or he was specially trained to do this sort of thing -- like a special ops, creme de la creme, CIA ops, Navy Seals kind of guy -- or both. For him, it was just another day at the office.
As for using the lights of Vancouver as his guide -- that seems pretty far-fetched. With all that cloud cover (I was there that night, remember -- lots of rain and clouds for sure), the Vancouver lights would have done little to help him pinpoint a drop zone -- he could have landed anywhere -- on I-5, on someone's roof, in the River, on the north end of Vancouver, or the south end -- where?. On that night, he couldn't have known anything with any certainty.
Why wasn't he worried about when and where he would actually jump? He didn't seem to be overly concerned about those matters. Possible explanation: he had lots of help on the ground, several pickup points along V-23 -- it didn't really matter where he jumped out -- help was only a stone's throw away. Was he a hired hand? Did he grow old in the witness protection program? A possibility -- why not?
NOT FOR SAILSHAW!
Meyer, under this scenario above, how do you account for the money near Vancouver at Tina Bar?
Yes, Georger, that's the great conundrum-how did the money get to Tina Bar? I don't feel so bad because nobody else has really definitively figured that one out either. Here's an idea: When Cooper jumped, he got into a spin and had to cut the money loose just to save himself. The money ends up in the Columbia River watershed somewhere and eventually ends up at Tina Bar. Yeah, right -- I don't really know. That's the baffling thing for my little theory here, and for most theories, actually.
However, there is a case for the "hired hand" theory on other fronts. My list is not exhaustive, but here are a few points to consider:
(1) How Cooper got to PDX totally undetected can be easily done by the CIA or FBI -- it's what they do.
(2) The FBI has been evasive, inconclusive, and dismissive about most everything from the very beginning. They don't pursue anything because they've already got their guy is. The list goes on and on of how the FBI dropped the ball. The biggest ball they dropped, in my opinion, is losing the cigarette butts. Tell me again how this was just an honest mistake, how that was just an oversight. It was done on purpose, period! The one piece of evidence that would have definitively identified Cooper got lost. Bullshit! No way! You will never get me to believe that it was an honest mistake in a million years.
(3) The scenario I laid out earlier where Cooper just didn't seem to give a rat's ass about when or where to jump. He had lots of help. The one closest to the radio transmission from Cooper was the one who picked him up, probably within an hour of the jump.
(4) The money itself -- why was it so readily available in Seattle? I know, the banks set aside funds specifically for this purpose. But Cooper picked a rather short flight in which to commit his deed -- Portland to Seattle and back, that's not very far -- a 35 minute jaunt. It's as if Cooper knew he could get what he wanted in that short amount of time. He could have picked a longer flight that would have taken more time, thereby providing more time to get the loot assembled and delivered and get the parachutes transported. It's as if he already knew, and the only way he could have known was if he were told, informed, briefed, and coached.
(5) No one before or since 11/24/71 has gotten away with skyjacking a commercial aircraft. It's the only successful one in history. Now think about that...let's put some math to it. The empirical probability that Cooper would be successful in his hijacking attempt, before 11/24/71, was 0% --zero, zippo, nada, nothing. In other words, pulling off this caper was a virtual impossibility. But many say he probably made it -- let's say half say he did, half say he didn't. So, the probability went from 0% to 50+%. That's a pretty amazing jump in the odds. That only could have happened if he got significant assistance. Something that was impossible became certain -- the scales of probability were dramatically tipped. Something significant must have intervened.
You have to remember that at that time, in the early 1970s, there were many hijackings -- like or or two a month. The airline industry was dragging its feet on beefing up security and safer air travel. Some say they didn't remember hearing about the hijackings, because they lived on the east coast, so it must not have been that big of a deal. It was a big deal at the time. In fact, it was fast becoming a major crisis. The airline industry was dragging its feet on beefing up security. Who's to say the government didn't take a back door approach to solving the crisis? Is it really all that far-fetched to think that Nixon talked to the CIA Director and directed him to put his best man on the job -- to carry out something so crazy as successfully hijacking a plane so as to get the airline industry to get off its dead ass and start making air travel safer? Maybe, then again, maybe not....
Meyer